Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.019342 0.022504 0.025993 0.030126 0.034885 0.040189 0.046546
2025-12-07 0.014593 0.018669 0.023582 0.029927 0.037890 0.047540 0.060105
2025-12-14 0.011074 0.015391 0.021009 0.028826 0.039390 0.053134 0.072333
2025-12-21 0.008873 0.013268 0.019388 0.028478 0.041577 0.059699 0.086592
2025-12-28 0.007779 0.012408 0.019247 0.030002 0.046392 0.070305 0.107687
2026-01-04 0.006756 0.011432 0.018723 0.030799 0.050154 0.079777 0.128291
2026-01-11 0.005610 0.010036 0.017296 0.029920 0.051128 0.085057 0.143071
2026-01-18 0.004804 0.009049 0.016346 0.029612 0.052881 0.091647 0.160578
2026-01-25 0.004073 0.008057 0.015218 0.028798 0.053606 0.096534 0.175721
2026-02-01 0.003507 0.007268 0.014316 0.028224 0.054616 0.101934 0.192249
2026-02-08 0.003073 0.006654 0.013637 0.027942 0.056073 0.108210 0.210946
2026-02-15 0.002657 0.006005 0.012790 0.027201 0.056533 0.112662 0.226697
2026-02-22 0.002484 0.005844 0.012906 0.028423 0.061043 0.125352 0.259783
2026-03-01 0.002218 0.005439 0.012458 0.028421 0.063086 0.133501 0.284955
2026-03-08 0.001914 0.004890 0.011621 0.027465 0.063006 0.137385 0.301974
2026-03-15 0.001701 0.004520 0.011122 0.027178 0.064315 0.144245 0.325896
2026-03-22 0.001629 0.004484 0.011384 0.028660 0.069727 0.160353 0.371246
2026-03-29 0.001519 0.004332 0.011349 0.029436 0.073617 0.173569 0.411695
2026-04-05 0.001334 0.003949 0.010689 0.028600 0.073616 0.178121 0.433251
2026-04-12 0.001199 0.003678 0.010271 0.028309 0.074879 0.185672 0.462463
2026-04-19 0.001058 0.003365 0.009698 0.027531 0.074832 0.190143 0.484914
2026-04-26 0.000944 0.003109 0.009236 0.026982 0.075291 0.195859 0.510941
2026-05-03 0.000854 0.002908 0.008896 0.026712 0.076437 0.203355 0.542096